Wizard Of Odds Baccarat
2021年6月1日Register here: http://gg.gg/ut98o
Baccarat Play Blackjack Play Craps Play Blackjack Card Counting Play Carribean Stud Poker Play Casino War Play Crazy 4 Poker Play Let it Ride Play Keno Play Missisipi Stud Play Money Suit 31 Play One Card Poker Play Pai Gow Poker Play Pai Gow Tiles Play Roulette Play Slot Machine:21 Bell Play Slot Machine: Atkins Diet Play Slot Machine: Australian Reels(Single-Line) Play Slot Machine. Before playing in casinos, Wizard of Odds baccarat gives you the chance to play for free or money on the website. The site is known to analyze games and come up with a winning strategy that even beginners can learn.
*Wizard Of Odds Beating Baccarat
*Wizard Of Odds Baccarat
*Baccarat Rules and Odds. The world class game theorist and mathematician Michael Shackleford, working through his Wizard of Odds brand, crunched the numbers on 2 to 1 Baccarat. Baccarat found that edge house edge on Banker bets for this new game.
*Baccarat Odds for 1 to 12 Decks. The baccarat always takes the baccarat on the winning Banker hand. The payouts on a tie bet are or thereby offering the following house edge. The odds of baccarat can be played with 1 wizard 8 decks of cards and the probability for a hand is following: of odds Banker wins Player wins Tie 1 deck 6 decks 0.
Thread Rating: BacarratRickWhat a great site! I keep learning a lot!
According to your runs in baccarat chart, the chance of a streak of 6 in a row or more against me is 0.015625 (random)? So we should see a streak of 6 in a row (or more) roughly 1.5 times out of 100 decisions.
Assume I always bet against (opposite) the previous decision. In other words, I am betting against a streak of 6 in a row happening. Let’s further assume I use a betting progression that will always give me my profit target in less than 30 decisions. (Sometimes as few as 10 decisions!)
I am risking $1600 to win $1000 using my progression,
My question relates to the probability of seeing a streak of 6 or more in 30 decisions. Stated another way, if I never play more than 30 decisions in a game, what are the odds that I will encounter a streak of 6 or more within those 30 decisions?
Assume I am using a simple Martingale (I am not); but every time we have a chop without a streak of 6 in a row, I win. Depending on the pattern, I need 10-30 decisions without a streak of 6 in a row on either bank or player, because I am betting on a choppy shoe.
So in 30 decisions or less, what are the chances I will encounter a streak of six or more in a row? I get tripped up with the calculation because suppose it streaks 4 in a row, and then chops?, letting me win? We’ve had 5 decisions. But I think I only needed to consider the odds on the very first decision of thais series. In other words, don’t my odds of losing only begin again after a series ends? Or is it as simple as calculating the odds times 30 hands?
Thanks in advance for your expert wizardry!OnceDear
Administrator
What a great site! I keep learning a lot!
Shop authentic Designer Handbags for women up to 90% off. The RealReal is the world’s #1 luxury consignment online store. All items are authenticated through a rigorous process overseen by experts. Small Fireproof Bag (5 x 8 inches), Non-itchy Fireproof Money Bag, Fireproof Wallet Bag, Cash Fireproof Bag Set for Valuables - Passport, Currency & Keys (2-Pack) 4.8 out of 5 stars 3,001 $14.56 $ 14. Real money bag.Sincerest welcome to the forum.
Other members will be along shortly to point out the complete error in your thinking. Some will be kind and some will be blunt. All will be asserting the one truth: Progressive systems like yours are of no monetary value. Watching for streaks or chops or whatever is also pointless.
I will be so kind as to say that your system might be a fun way to lose money.
Quote:
I am risking $1600 to win $1000 using my progression,
Then, ignoring that nasty house edge, you have approximately 1600/26 = 61.5% probability of walking out with your $1,000 profit, IF the only possible outcomes are doing so, or walking out $1,600 down.
Here’s the mathematical explanation. It’s pretty much regardless of what game you play, or how you structure your wagers.
https://wizardofvegas.com/member/oncedear/blog/2/#post1370
Thanks in advance for your expert wizardry! You are welcome. But don your asbestos suit for the heat you will get in other replies.Take care out there. Spare a thought for the newly poor who were happy in their world just a few days ago, but whose whole way of life just collapsed.mustangsally
So in 30 decisions or less, what are the chances I will encounter a streak of six or more in a row? I answered this for my Mom sometime back.
B or P run of 6 in 30 hands = (not counting ties)
0.357817976
about a 1 in 3 shot
Wizard Of Odds Beating Baccarat*****
here is Excel in Google to see how I did it
also click on worksheet ’or6’
https://goo.gl/GTnpbL
or a photo
(my short simulation is very close too)
hope this helps
sounds fun!
have fun!
SallyLast edited by: mustangsally on Oct 4, 2017Ace2I interpret your question as ’what is the probability of me losing 6 or more bets in a row’, not ’what is the the probability of 6 player or banker wins in a row’.
The odds of flipping a coin 30 times and not getting at least one streak of 6 heads or more is the 32nd 6-step Fibonacci number divided by 2^30 which is ~80.8%.
Wizard Of Odds BaccaratSo 19.2% chance that such a streak will happen.
Baccarat player/banker is not exactly a coin flip, but pretty dang close, so I believe the answer to your question is quite close to 19.2%, especially since you said you bet opposite each time.It’s all about making that GTAOnceDear
Administrator
Note to original poster: You can trust Sally’s numbers. She’s very well established here as skilled in running such simulations. The fractional difference between her numbers and mine is down to her correctly accomodating the rules of the game with its house edge, where I didn’t bother.
Logic and maths are one way of estimating or calculating your chances. Simulations are another way of getting a handle on probabilities and we can use charts to show what the path of your bankroll might look like. I cannot post an image at the moment, but if we plotted a chart of your bankroll using your system, it would look like an upward ramp or staircase with occasional massive blips downwards. For some of your sessions you would double or treble or even sextuple your starting bankroll, but in many trials, you would lose your entire bankroll entirely before making any progress.
Bottom line is, progressives change the shape of your bankroll chart, but they cannot change the average expectation.Take care out there. Spare a thought for the newly poor who were happy in their world just a few days ago, but whose whole way of life just collapsed.BlackjackGuy123it is irrelevant. So long as you are making negative expectation bets in the long run you should expect to lose money. No betting progression changes this unalterable fact. The only way to make money gambling is to make +EV bets.
Register here: http://gg.gg/ut98o
https://diarynote-jp.indered.space
Baccarat Play Blackjack Play Craps Play Blackjack Card Counting Play Carribean Stud Poker Play Casino War Play Crazy 4 Poker Play Let it Ride Play Keno Play Missisipi Stud Play Money Suit 31 Play One Card Poker Play Pai Gow Poker Play Pai Gow Tiles Play Roulette Play Slot Machine:21 Bell Play Slot Machine: Atkins Diet Play Slot Machine: Australian Reels(Single-Line) Play Slot Machine. Before playing in casinos, Wizard of Odds baccarat gives you the chance to play for free or money on the website. The site is known to analyze games and come up with a winning strategy that even beginners can learn.
*Wizard Of Odds Beating Baccarat
*Wizard Of Odds Baccarat
*Baccarat Rules and Odds. The world class game theorist and mathematician Michael Shackleford, working through his Wizard of Odds brand, crunched the numbers on 2 to 1 Baccarat. Baccarat found that edge house edge on Banker bets for this new game.
*Baccarat Odds for 1 to 12 Decks. The baccarat always takes the baccarat on the winning Banker hand. The payouts on a tie bet are or thereby offering the following house edge. The odds of baccarat can be played with 1 wizard 8 decks of cards and the probability for a hand is following: of odds Banker wins Player wins Tie 1 deck 6 decks 0.
Thread Rating: BacarratRickWhat a great site! I keep learning a lot!
According to your runs in baccarat chart, the chance of a streak of 6 in a row or more against me is 0.015625 (random)? So we should see a streak of 6 in a row (or more) roughly 1.5 times out of 100 decisions.
Assume I always bet against (opposite) the previous decision. In other words, I am betting against a streak of 6 in a row happening. Let’s further assume I use a betting progression that will always give me my profit target in less than 30 decisions. (Sometimes as few as 10 decisions!)
I am risking $1600 to win $1000 using my progression,
My question relates to the probability of seeing a streak of 6 or more in 30 decisions. Stated another way, if I never play more than 30 decisions in a game, what are the odds that I will encounter a streak of 6 or more within those 30 decisions?
Assume I am using a simple Martingale (I am not); but every time we have a chop without a streak of 6 in a row, I win. Depending on the pattern, I need 10-30 decisions without a streak of 6 in a row on either bank or player, because I am betting on a choppy shoe.
So in 30 decisions or less, what are the chances I will encounter a streak of six or more in a row? I get tripped up with the calculation because suppose it streaks 4 in a row, and then chops?, letting me win? We’ve had 5 decisions. But I think I only needed to consider the odds on the very first decision of thais series. In other words, don’t my odds of losing only begin again after a series ends? Or is it as simple as calculating the odds times 30 hands?
Thanks in advance for your expert wizardry!OnceDear
Administrator
What a great site! I keep learning a lot!
Shop authentic Designer Handbags for women up to 90% off. The RealReal is the world’s #1 luxury consignment online store. All items are authenticated through a rigorous process overseen by experts. Small Fireproof Bag (5 x 8 inches), Non-itchy Fireproof Money Bag, Fireproof Wallet Bag, Cash Fireproof Bag Set for Valuables - Passport, Currency & Keys (2-Pack) 4.8 out of 5 stars 3,001 $14.56 $ 14. Real money bag.Sincerest welcome to the forum.
Other members will be along shortly to point out the complete error in your thinking. Some will be kind and some will be blunt. All will be asserting the one truth: Progressive systems like yours are of no monetary value. Watching for streaks or chops or whatever is also pointless.
I will be so kind as to say that your system might be a fun way to lose money.
Quote:
I am risking $1600 to win $1000 using my progression,
Then, ignoring that nasty house edge, you have approximately 1600/26 = 61.5% probability of walking out with your $1,000 profit, IF the only possible outcomes are doing so, or walking out $1,600 down.
Here’s the mathematical explanation. It’s pretty much regardless of what game you play, or how you structure your wagers.
https://wizardofvegas.com/member/oncedear/blog/2/#post1370
Thanks in advance for your expert wizardry! You are welcome. But don your asbestos suit for the heat you will get in other replies.Take care out there. Spare a thought for the newly poor who were happy in their world just a few days ago, but whose whole way of life just collapsed.mustangsally
So in 30 decisions or less, what are the chances I will encounter a streak of six or more in a row? I answered this for my Mom sometime back.
B or P run of 6 in 30 hands = (not counting ties)
0.357817976
about a 1 in 3 shot
Wizard Of Odds Beating Baccarat*****
here is Excel in Google to see how I did it
also click on worksheet ’or6’
https://goo.gl/GTnpbL
or a photo
(my short simulation is very close too)
hope this helps
sounds fun!
have fun!
SallyLast edited by: mustangsally on Oct 4, 2017Ace2I interpret your question as ’what is the probability of me losing 6 or more bets in a row’, not ’what is the the probability of 6 player or banker wins in a row’.
The odds of flipping a coin 30 times and not getting at least one streak of 6 heads or more is the 32nd 6-step Fibonacci number divided by 2^30 which is ~80.8%.
Wizard Of Odds BaccaratSo 19.2% chance that such a streak will happen.
Baccarat player/banker is not exactly a coin flip, but pretty dang close, so I believe the answer to your question is quite close to 19.2%, especially since you said you bet opposite each time.It’s all about making that GTAOnceDear
Administrator
Note to original poster: You can trust Sally’s numbers. She’s very well established here as skilled in running such simulations. The fractional difference between her numbers and mine is down to her correctly accomodating the rules of the game with its house edge, where I didn’t bother.
Logic and maths are one way of estimating or calculating your chances. Simulations are another way of getting a handle on probabilities and we can use charts to show what the path of your bankroll might look like. I cannot post an image at the moment, but if we plotted a chart of your bankroll using your system, it would look like an upward ramp or staircase with occasional massive blips downwards. For some of your sessions you would double or treble or even sextuple your starting bankroll, but in many trials, you would lose your entire bankroll entirely before making any progress.
Bottom line is, progressives change the shape of your bankroll chart, but they cannot change the average expectation.Take care out there. Spare a thought for the newly poor who were happy in their world just a few days ago, but whose whole way of life just collapsed.BlackjackGuy123it is irrelevant. So long as you are making negative expectation bets in the long run you should expect to lose money. No betting progression changes this unalterable fact. The only way to make money gambling is to make +EV bets.
Register here: http://gg.gg/ut98o
https://diarynote-jp.indered.space
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